Protecting Our Economic Health Despite Corona

As I sit in our home in self-isolation, I ponder our country’s economic health over the next several months and beyond. Watching people mobilize to fight an invisible coronavirus is certainly inspirational. We all know that managing individual behavior will go a long way towards slowing down and eventually stopping the spread of this frightening pandemic.

Yet, why is it that canceling large events, not meeting in large groups, working from home and keeping six feet of separation between people enough? I fear that by shuttering businesses including restaurants, bars, malls, gyms. movie theaters, travel companies and more that we are headed to unprecedented economic difficulty.

At this moment, a couple of thousand people have died in the US, which is sad and painful especially for their families and loved ones. However, if we stay on this course of stopping business commerce, then hundreds of thousands of people will die from the dire economic consequences that may lie ahead.

When the unemployment rate rises one percent, nearly 40,000 deaths may follow according to Bluestone et all in The Causes and Consequences of Economic Dislocation, which is often summarized in economic textbooks and quoted in the popular movie, The Big Short. A further breakdown of the numbers include: 20,000 heart attacks, 920 suicides, and 650 homicides.

A three percent rise in unemployment could lead to well over 100,000 deaths, which significantly eclipses the several hundred coronavirus deaths that are directly connected to the pandemic. I believe this scenario shows we need to maintain social distancing practices, yet keep our retail businesses open. If certain individuals, such as seniors and those with pre-existing health conditions wish to self-isolate, then they can take the necessary steps.

The remaining 80% to 90% of the population need to learn accept and live with the risk of this pandemic to maintain our quality of life. We can alter our individual behavior, practice good hygiene, show compassion for those who become ill, mobilize financial and human resources to fight the pandemic and do so without grinding our business, personal, and consumer lives to a halt.

Compassion should also be extended to the small business owner, who has the working capital to operate for only a short period of time without modest sales. Their entire allocation of finances may be invested in the business including the ability to support their employees and family. In addition, they could be at an age where there is insufficient time to recover from a business or personal bankruptcy. Shouldn’t we accept a reasonable amount of risk to give this entrepreneur the opportunity to keep their business afloat?

Another over-looked aspect of this pandemic is the geographic unequal distribution of the virus. Four states, including New York, New Jersey, Washington, and California consist of 64% of the cases. Breaking it down further, most of the people with the illness in these states live in New York City, Seattle, and the CA Bay Area.

Although the virus has reached all 50 states, why should West Virginia with eight cases and South Dakota with 50 cases and one death suffer negative economic consequences when their case numbers are extremely small. West Virginia is already in a tough spot due to the loss of manufacturing and the coal industry in their state.

In today’s world, there is risk all around us with crime, car accidents, natural disasters and more. We do not stop living due to tragic circumstances that inevitably find their way into our lives. Instead, we confront the tragedy head on and know in our guts that we must always find a way to persevere. The ultimate risk is not taking one and right now we are on extremely risky ground.

5 Possible Ways To Cut Expenses During A Crisis

After, over four decades of involvement, in a variety of executive, business, and financial positions, as well as consulting, I have often assisted, those. in – need, in considering, ways to reduce their personal expenses, in as unobtrusive way, as possible! Although, health considerations, must be, our highest priority, during these times, many people, because of the impacts, of necessary restrictions, and limits of business activities, and the associated, loss of wages, and asset value, need to seriously consider, and address, a way, to reduce their expenses, in a reasonable, responsible, relevant manner. With that in mind, this article will attempt to, consider, examine, review, and discuss, 5 things, which might make sense, to do, now.

1. Contact and speak to your mortgage company: Many mortgage companies, as well as government agencies, have announced, policies, where they recognize, the crisis, we are in. With that in mind, several are permitting one, to extend the length of their existing mortgage, by varying periods, and without penalties/ fees, but simply, by adding the skipped months, at the end, of the original term of the loan. This will not have any harmful impact on your credit, and/ or, Credit Rating, but, requires, you, to contact, your mortgage company, and request it, using the specific process, that institution, is using.

2. Speak to credit card companies, and other loans/ lending institutions: Without one’s regular source of income, coming in, paying usual bills, may be somewhat challenging, and tension – producing! Contact every institution/ company, you owe money to, and request, adjusted terms, during this crisis. Most will agree!

3. Economize/ reduce spending: Don’t hoard unnecessary items, simply because of your fears, etc! Switch to store brands, if possible, to save costs! Avoid buying any unnecessary, or impulse items! Don’t let your restricted circumstances, make you, lose – your – head!

4. Lower electric/ utility costs: Lower your utility costs, by adjusting your thermostat (just a few degrees, makes a significant difference/ savings), and, turning off lights, when unnecessary. Live a simpler, less costly, life, and your future, will thank you!

5. Protect your health: In these times of uncertain health dangers, due to this Coronavirus pandemic, the most important thing, you can do, is, to protect your overall health, and well – being! Follow the recommendations, especially, those, to responsibly, use the concept, of Social Spacing, etc, and everyone will benefit, and prosper!

CoronaVirus Effects on Toronto Real Estate Market

Toronto Real Estate Market Sales are up 45.6%! Average Prices Up 16.7% amid CoronaVirus (COVID-19) fears! CoronaVirus impacts on the Toronto’s Real Estate Market, March 2020!

This is a thorough review about what’s going on in Toronto’s Real Estate Market! Here you read about the CoronaVirus (COVID-19) effect on Toronto’s real estate Market and how the corona virus will impact the market and capital markets! This report, in addition, includes forecasts and Supporting Data to our Past Forecasts. And also how the Market Meltdown would impact real estate in Toronto.
Toronto Housing Market Overview Amid CoronaVirus fears:

March 2020 has started with a total of 7,256 resale transactions reported through TREB’s MLS in Toronto’s real estate market. That was a historic 45.6% increase in the number of sales compared to last year similar time in Toronto’s real estate. On top of that the average home price in Greater Toronto Area (GTA) has been $910,290, which is OVER 16.7% price increase Year over Year in Toronto’s housing market!
CoronaVirus (COVID-19) impact on Toronto’s real estate Market:

Meanwhile CoronaVirus effect in the capital markets was heavy in February. Toronto Exchange Composite Index hit the highest 17,944 on February 20th, then dropped to a low 12,700 on March 12th, which is a HUGE 28% melt down in almost two weeks!!

On the other hand, the Toronto real estate market, was the strongest since 2017, amid all the COVID-19 pandemic panic. I, as a Toronto Real Estate Agent and investment analyst, have seen more investors entering the real estate market when the forecast of the stock market seems volatile to them. If you look at the REITS (Real Estate Investment Trusts) stocks, you’d see among the huge meltdown in all other sectors, the REITs are performing relatively better than other stocks ( less plunge we see in those stocks) . Especially residential REITs. The symbols that I recommend you to follow are : REI.UN ( RioCan REIT ) and CHP.UN ( Choice Properties REIT ) .

Real estate in GTA has been a safe long term investment for many. Speculators also have enjoyed the waves here and there, but one important thing to remember is that the buyers who drive the market are not all speculators. They are First buyers, Up sizers, or downsizers, who actually need a roof for living. Many of the buyers are actually end users, second comes the cash flow investors. Speculators are not a big part of the market here.

Is there a FOMO in real estate market?

As someone who works with buyers and sellers in Toronto’s real estate market, I’d say that the FOMO has returned to the market, and much more buyers are competing on the properties more than a couple months ago. Numbers also support that, number of sales increased by 45.6% and the number of active listings dropped by 33.6%, which puts even more pressure on the standing inventory. That being said, amid CoronaVirus fear, I forecast even higher price increases in Toronto’s housing market for the next month! That’s in the opposite direction that the stock market moves currently!
What will happen to the markets if the CoronaVirus (COVID-19) gets under control:

If the CoronaVirus gets under control in Canada, i.e, they find a cure for it, or somehow control it, the confidence will get back to the stock market. If we look at the lessons learned from SARS, we’d realize that the CoronaVirus will be controlled at some point, that’s when the markets, especially stock markets, would start rising again. In that case the money that flows to the stock sector would be a relief to the Real Estate Market. But again the FOMO might cause a minor bubble for the stocks as well. Which will eventually be corrected sooner or later after that.

But until that timeArticle Search, I think the real estate market in Toronto would be subject to higher price appreciation.


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